Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1272.866394 1440.512349 1624.817755 1842.945192 2094.656969 2376.713713 2717.695640
2025-11-30 1023.954112 1251.283150 1523.768742 1876.521937 2324.095902 2877.000268 3617.846929
2025-12-07 852.222742 1095.142824 1403.430233 1827.343255 2401.266795 3160.081508 4253.986049
2025-12-14 731.137730 977.378820 1304.300724 1776.056776 2449.225816 3390.291532 4832.235712
2025-12-21 635.912014 878.451776 1212.831618 1715.413554 2465.468702 3565.695502 5343.836534
2025-12-28 595.262024 848.331409 1210.003279 1775.350357 2656.667455 4011.963332 6321.533661
2026-01-04 552.491853 809.254600 1188.044672 1801.198992 2795.221255 4390.759338 7245.230621
2026-01-11 512.735119 769.793270 1160.068025 1812.247932 2908.269255 4738.796372 8166.320126
2026-01-18 477.755238 733.728870 1132.784166 1819.641520 3013.444922 5083.365272 9131.047450
2026-01-25 455.209813 714.747755 1129.987036 1865.832114 3188.231527 5568.684886 10432.344635
2026-02-01 432.556656 693.227193 1120.436767 1898.385511 3341.085247 6032.013271 11765.796209
2026-02-08 410.576325 670.680740 1106.665311 1921.189874 3477.349371 6479.959983 13141.844398
2026-02-15 389.315157 648.120305 1091.762851 1942.140045 3616.289841 6959.690811 14691.583831
2026-02-22 372.057771 631.083805 1085.067059 1977.781907 3788.918604 7533.737708 16567.390848
2026-03-01 343.853186 592.211020 1035.470519 1925.605915 3776.983857 7717.367664 17565.987534
2026-03-08 318.189427 555.881268 987.380527 1871.205400 3753.216493 7870.602529 18517.723716
2026-03-15 293.692081 519.852440 936.899946 1806.895282 3700.416852 7950.977155 19300.301934
2026-03-22 287.011778 516.551605 948.355319 1870.456171 3934.606818 8725.045212 22061.689207
2026-03-29 276.516729 505.131331 942.960759 1897.872759 4090.695084 9336.866735 24515.694414
2026-04-05 265.067589 490.977171 930.912586 1909.592823 4211.670638 9880.344341 26896.866772
2026-04-12 254.056109 476.862488 917.757082 1917.435807 4324.238220 10419.484540 29389.863454
2026-04-19 247.823363 471.819922 922.757328 1966.439364 4543.361111 11272.378927 33064.862830
2026-04-26 240.559621 464.133065 921.552062 2000.980761 4730.724814 12070.352412 36768.631163